#1
TMUS
86.4%
estimated five-day upside probability
- Price
- $148.08
- 20-day return
- -9.2%
- Holdout accuracy
- 51.0%
ROD NASDAQ PROBABILITY
Five-day probability dashboard
Ranks NASDAQ-100 stocks by an experimental model’s estimate of closing higher in five trading days.
#2
CSGP
82.9%
estimated five-day upside probability
- Price
- $27.54
- 20-day return
- 0.5%
- Holdout accuracy
- 49.0%
#3
MRNA
77.5%
estimated five-day upside probability
- Price
- $214.16
- 20-day return
- 11.2%
- Holdout accuracy
- 52.0%
Full ranking
| Rank | Symbol | Probability | Price | 20-day return | Test accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TMUS | 86.4% | $148.08 | -9.2% | 51.0% |
| 2 | CSGP | 82.9% | $27.54 | 0.5% | 49.0% |
| 3 | MRNA | 77.5% | $214.16 | 11.2% | 52.0% |
| 4 | DDOG | 75.1% | $278.41 | 1.7% | 36.0% |
| 5 | KLAC | 74.9% | $158.77 | -18.6% | 40.0% |
| 6 | EXC | 74.6% | $44.77 | 10.8% | 49.0% |
| 7 | AEP | 74.4% | $128.20 | 8.1% | 57.0% |
| 8 | FTNT | 74.3% | $174.08 | -2.6% | 58.0% |
| 9 | ADP | 73.2% | $285.37 | 10.6% | 56.0% |
| 10 | BKR | 72.5% | $54.66 | -0.4% | 50.0% |
| 11 | PAYX | 71.2% | $108.21 | 11.0% | 58.0% |
| 12 | MDLZ | 69.8% | $61.87 | 7.0% | 53.0% |
| 13 | ASML | 68.8% | $1662.85 | -8.1% | 56.0% |
| 14 | PANW | 67.1% | $394.49 | -0.7% | 61.0% |
| 15 | HON | 67.0% | $219.26 | 3.9% | 43.0% |
| 16 | MNST | 66.8% | $45.66 | 9.7% | 56.0% |
| 17 | VRSK | 66.5% | $189.80 | 13.1% | 55.0% |
| 18 | CMCSA | 64.3% | $21.57 | 0.7% | 66.0% |
| 19 | GOOGL | 64.2% | $324.89 | -5.6% | 53.0% |
| 20 | LRCX | 64.2% | $253.82 | -22.7% | 52.0% |
| 21 | ARM | 62.1% | $235.90 | -18.6% | 41.0% |
| 22 | LIN | 62.0% | $508.16 | 7.1% | 60.0% |
| 23 | TXN | 61.5% | $309.83 | 10.6% | 38.0% |
| 24 | CDNS | 61.1% | $342.46 | 3.7% | 53.0% |
| 25 | GOOG | 60.4% | $321.89 | -5.5% | 50.0% |
| 26 | AMZN | 59.6% | $254.60 | 2.2% | 46.0% |
| 27 | APP | 59.0% | $259.97 | -10.5% | 40.0% |
| 28 | KHC | 58.8% | $23.86 | 5.0% | 53.0% |
| 29 | INTU | 58.7% | $328.19 | 19.6% | 37.0% |
| 30 | CSCO | 57.9% | $110.29 | 2.9% | 46.0% |
| 31 | GFS | 57.8% | $46.11 | -3.8% | 43.0% |
| 32 | PCAR | 57.8% | $102.42 | -6.7% | 43.0% |
| 33 | ADI | 57.2% | $428.27 | 8.0% | 49.0% |
| 34 | TTWO | 57.0% | $195.29 | -5.9% | 47.0% |
| 35 | NVDA | 56.9% | $215.38 | -5.7% | 55.0% |
| 36 | MRVL | 55.8% | $251.65 | -4.7% | 45.0% |
| 37 | CTSH | 55.2% | $66.36 | 15.5% | 54.0% |
| 38 | ON | 54.8% | $75.63 | -1.6% | 51.0% |
| 39 | ORLY | 54.1% | $90.44 | 5.9% | 56.0% |
| 40 | INTC | 54.0% | $95.53 | -20.5% | 54.0% |
| 41 | CRWD | 53.9% | $266.66 | 0.7% | 48.0% |
| 42 | AVGO | 53.5% | $351.81 | 0.2% | 52.0% |
| 43 | SBUX | 53.0% | $103.20 | 9.8% | 54.0% |
| 44 | MSFT | 52.8% | $531.01 | 3.5% | 45.0% |
| 45 | ZS | 52.7% | $255.80 | 28.3% | 51.0% |
| 46 | WDAY | 52.5% | $204.36 | 7.3% | 54.0% |
| 47 | FAST | 51.8% | $51.45 | 4.4% | 59.0% |
| 48 | MDB | 51.2% | $393.44 | 12.9% | 47.0% |
| 49 | MSTR | 51.2% | $145.16 | -5.2% | 46.0% |
| 50 | AXON | 51.0% | $423.17 | 0.2% | 51.0% |
| 51 | CEG | 50.9% | $258.08 | 1.6% | 58.0% |
| 52 | MCHP | 50.8% | $79.63 | 2.4% | 39.0% |
| 53 | XEL | 50.6% | $77.18 | 9.5% | 57.0% |
| 54 | ROST | 50.5% | $227.98 | -2.3% | 45.0% |
| 55 | AAPL | 50.1% | $343.83 | 3.2% | 48.0% |
| 56 | CTAS | 50.1% | $212.81 | 9.1% | 56.0% |
| 57 | DXCM | 50.0% | $78.62 | -8.9% | 55.0% |
| 58 | ADSK | 49.9% | $242.38 | 16.0% | 46.0% |
| 59 | CSX | 49.7% | $51.98 | 11.8% | 59.0% |
| 60 | NXPI | 49.6% | $251.69 | 6.0% | 56.0% |
| 61 | AMAT | 49.2% | $416.00 | -18.7% | 43.0% |
| 62 | MAR | 48.4% | $394.40 | 10.9% | 51.0% |
| 63 | CHTR | 48.3% | $105.39 | -5.0% | 46.0% |
| 64 | TSLA | 48.2% | $404.22 | 13.9% | 49.0% |
| 65 | ROP | 48.1% | $440.66 | 26.4% | 58.0% |
| 66 | DASH | 47.7% | $169.49 | -7.7% | 35.0% |
| 67 | PDD | 47.2% | $77.47 | -0.6% | 53.0% |
| 68 | PEP | 47.1% | $132.63 | 4.7% | 55.0% |
| 69 | ABNB | 46.0% | $166.04 | 3.4% | 61.0% |
| 70 | META | 45.4% | $612.49 | -15.5% | 43.0% |
| 71 | TTD | 45.2% | $12.76 | 4.8% | 52.0% |
| 72 | MELI | 44.4% | $1673.09 | -3.2% | 58.0% |
| 73 | PLTR | 44.0% | $196.81 | 5.2% | 60.0% |
| 74 | VRTX | 43.6% | $529.69 | 1.3% | 54.0% |
| 75 | KDP | 43.2% | $34.93 | 15.1% | 42.0% |
| 76 | BKNG | 42.7% | $147.94 | -9.2% | 43.0% |
| 77 | ADBE | 42.2% | $249.76 | 4.1% | 52.0% |
| 78 | CDW | 41.8% | $162.66 | 26.9% | 57.0% |
| 79 | MU | 41.5% | $983.23 | -7.7% | 57.0% |
| 80 | PYPL | 41.0% | $56.55 | 7.7% | 46.0% |
| 81 | QCOM | 41.0% | $182.97 | -0.6% | 62.0% |
| 82 | COST | 40.9% | $982.73 | 8.0% | 51.0% |
| 83 | FANG | 40.1% | $206.22 | 12.2% | 45.0% |
| 84 | AMGN | 39.6% | $451.83 | 7.2% | 47.0% |
| 85 | NFLX | 39.1% | $61.99 | -10.9% | 45.0% |
| 86 | CPRT | 38.7% | $28.96 | 6.2% | 62.0% |
| 87 | ISRG | 38.0% | $444.18 | 9.2% | 43.0% |
| 88 | ODFL | 37.8% | $173.32 | -0.3% | 49.0% |
| 89 | IDXX | 37.0% | $562.91 | 7.8% | 52.0% |
| 90 | AMD | 36.8% | $578.44 | -5.4% | 50.0% |
| 91 | REGN | 36.8% | $813.27 | 7.3% | 38.0% |
| 92 | SNPS | 36.2% | $481.89 | 10.8% | 53.0% |
| 93 | GILD | 35.8% | $159.20 | 6.8% | 53.0% |
| 94 | CCEP | 32.1% | $111.12 | 9.3% | 54.0% |
| 95 | GEHC | 26.6% | $75.82 | 16.1% | 53.0% |
| 96 | TEAM | 15.2% | $220.12 | 22.8% | 28.0% |
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